Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 1.244831 1.472790 1.711182 1.977508 2.265240 2.565365 2.900745
2025-01-05 0.903715 1.218864 1.570216 1.984045 2.451865 2.958859 3.544646
2025-01-12 0.697724 1.046487 1.454981 1.954515 2.536467 3.182474 3.943959
2025-01-19 0.605310 0.991970 1.463100 2.055727 2.761188 3.557395 4.508600
2025-01-26 0.540694 0.958962 1.486255 2.165052 2.986982 3.926542 5.060387
2025-02-02 0.493917 0.941411 1.522768 2.285952 3.223085 4.305361 5.621884
2025-02-09 0.462480 0.939336 1.575035 2.423175 3.476454 4.702781 6.203866
2025-02-16 0.414583 0.907176 1.583450 2.501922 3.656464 5.012272 6.682690
2025-02-23 0.354997 0.849718 1.552584 2.526360 3.766716 5.236748 7.060415
2025-03-02 0.272562 0.744299 1.447532 2.448016 3.744365 5.298743 7.243697
2025-03-09 0.199933 0.641247 1.336557 2.354525 3.697215 5.326328 7.382401
2025-03-16 0.152248 0.572065 1.268160 2.312878 3.711516 5.425024 7.602651
2025-03-23 0.123873 0.537146 1.252843 2.348666 3.832918 5.664907 8.005407
2025-03-30 0.094782 0.493393 1.220496 2.359233 3.921525 5.865458 8.363036
2025-04-06 0.064867 0.436247 1.160351 2.325603 3.948322 5.986151 8.621121
2025-04-13 0.058906 0.439548 1.200597 2.437278 4.168506 6.349547 9.175869
2025-04-20 0.054576 0.446329 1.246446 2.557112 4.399778 6.727233 9.748632
2025-04-27 0.052068 0.457986 1.300705 2.689546 4.648361 7.127292 10.349551
2025-05-04 0.051655 0.476151 1.366541 2.839464 4.920955 7.558251 10.989113
2025-05-11 0.044672 0.470628 1.389650 2.925364 5.107008 7.879887 11.494809
2025-05-18 0.033332 0.444637 1.374032 2.951998 5.211991 8.098351 11.873477
2025-05-25 0.016837 0.382808 1.286902 2.866575 5.161558 8.117178 12.004508
2025-06-01 0.005774 0.321266 1.192330 2.764500 5.084461 8.099077 12.087471